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Counting The Odds    Friends

Free E-book: Intro to the Math of Poker

Date: Sat, Apr 3, 2010 Internet Live

I’ve compiled a short (just 7-pages) e-book, an introduction to the mathematics of poker. It’s basically covers how to calculate your expected value in a certain spot – starting with explaining what EV is, all ...

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An Introduction to the Math of Poker

Date: Fri, Apr 2, 2010 Internet Live

I’ve compiled a short (just 7-pages) e-book, an introduction to the mathematics of poker. It’s basically covers how to calculate your expected value in a certain spot – starting with explaining what EV is, all ...

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Pre-flop Raise, then C-bet Strategy

Date: Mon, Mar 29, 2010 Internet Live

I was playing a live game on Friday night, and someone commented that I rely too much on the “preflop raise, then c-bet flop” strategy. It’s a strategy that I picked up from Daniel Negreanu’s ...

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Get My Free Pocket Guide to Poker Odds

Date: Mon, Mar 15, 2010 Internet Live

Have you ever wondered how well a suited connector does against a pocket pair? Or how likely a set on the flop is likely to hold up against an open ended straight flush draw? Or ...

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Win a Free Poker Book of Your Choice

Date: Fri, Mar 12, 2010 Internet Live

I’m sure that all of you have poker books that you want to read. I mean, no matter how good we are, we can always improve, right? So, in 2 week’s time, I’m giving away a ...

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A Closer Look at the AQo Hand

Date: Tue, Mar 9, 2010 Internet Live

Since my last post, I’ve had some discussions on the 2+2 forums about that hand. And so I thought I’d take a closer look at the hand. I realized I should be considering the odds on the flop, and not the equity across the whole hand. Quick recap. I had AQ offsuit, raised from the SB, [...]

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Folding AQ offsuit Preflop

Date: Tue, Mar 9, 2010 Internet Live

[update: After some discussions on the forum, I realized I was missing something, and so I've taken a closer look at the hand. You can read the new analysis here.] I was playing in a live cash game a few days ago, and was put in what i felt was a difficult decision pre-flop. So I [...]

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Getting Value From Flush Draw on the Flop

Date: Tue, Mar 9, 2010 Internet Live

This is a topic I’ve been wondering about, so I thought I’d do some calculations to figure out the best line of play here. So, imagine a situation like this. Poker Stars $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold’em – 8 players The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com CO: $1.92 BTN: $2.93 SB: $1.11 Hero (BB): $2.58 UTG: $3.00 UTG+1: $4.83 MP1: $2.64 MP2: $3.33 Pre Flop: [...]

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Opponent Modelling – Calling/Raising a 4-bet

Date: Tue, Mar 9, 2010 Internet Live

One thing about poker math is that it’s not just about odds. A proper application of math to poker also looks at modelling opponents. So, today I want to take an initial look at this. Say, you’re dealt a hand like KK. You raise preflop, there are some folds, 1 player re-raises, it folds around back [...]

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WBCOOP 2010 So Far

Date: Tue, Mar 9, 2010 Internet Live

So far I’ve played in two events of this year’s WBCOOP, finishing 233rd out of 1740 in Event #1, and and 329th out of 1876 in Event #4. It’s nice to be finishing in the top 20% consistently, at least I have a rough idea of where I stand. I’m still not fully sure how I [...]

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Small Ball Strategy – Flop Bet Sizing

Date: Tue, Mar 9, 2010 Internet Live

In a previous post, I looked at this example from TrueGamble, and studied the preflop action; concluding that the ideal raise would have been between 2.5x to 3x the big blind, and that the 2x the big blind raise was probably too little. Here, I’d like to continue on using that example, taking a look [...]

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2NL Update

Date: Tue, Mar 9, 2010 Internet Live

It’s been about a month since I re-deposited my $10 into my PokerStars account and started playing at 2NL. Since then, I’ve played over 2000 hands, and my deposit is currently at about $22. Here’s my graph of results so far. The details are slightly inaccurate – I started using PokerTracker only a while after depositing [...]

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Theory of Induction

Date: Tue, Mar 9, 2010 Internet Live

I had a really good discussion in my earlier post about my Pocket Aces hand. One thing from the conversation that struck me the most, however, was this statement by “Micro Donk” if they fold to a bet of 8bb they will fold to a bet of 6bb, if they will call 6 bb they will [...]

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No Limit Hold Em Theory by Sklanksy and Miller

Date: Tue, Mar 9, 2010 Internet Live

No, this isn’t a book review post. It’s actually more of a question to you guys. I’ve seen the book, No Limit Hold ‘Em Theory by Sklanksy and Miller, around, and it seems like an interesting premise, on a topic that highly interests me. It seems like it’s meant to be a mathematical look at NLHE, [...]

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